Knicks First-Round Playoff Scenarios: Who Will They Face? | NBA 2026 (2026)

The Knicks' season finale at Madison Square Garden is a mere formality, as they've already secured their spot as the third seed in the playoffs. With nothing left to gain or lose, the team is resting most of its starters, except for Mikal Bridges, the consecutive-games king.

However, the real intrigue lies in the potential first-round playoff opponents for the Knicks. While the Raptors seem like the most likely matchup, there's still a bit of uncertainty surrounding the final standings.

The Most Likely Scenario: Raptors

The Knicks will face the Raptors if either of these scenarios plays out:

  • Toronto beats Brooklyn and Atlanta beats Miami
  • Toronto beats Brooklyn, Miami beats Atlanta, and Orlando beats Boston

The tanking Nets are expected to lose to the Raptors, which won't significantly impact their lottery odds. The Raptors will clinch the fifth seed if Atlanta beats Miami or if the Magic beat the Celtics, both of which are plausible outcomes given the teams' resting players.

Possible, But Unlikely: Hawks and Magic

The Knicks could face the Hawks if Toronto beats Brooklyn, Miami beats Atlanta, and Boston beats Orlando. This outcome is less probable due to the odds favoring Orlando over Boston.

In the case of a three-way tie between the Raptors, Hawks, and Magic, the tiebreaker would keep Atlanta at No. 5, Toronto at No. 6, and send Orlando to No. 7.

The Magic could also be the Knicks' first-round opponent if Brooklyn beats Toronto, Atlanta beats Miami, and Orlando beats Boston. However, given the Nets' poor performance this season, this scenario is highly unlikely.

The Unlikeliest Outcome: Sixers

The Knicks drawing the Sixers in the first round is the least probable scenario. It would require the Nets to beat Toronto, Boston to beat Orlando, and Philadelphia to beat Milwaukee.

Given the Nets' struggles and the Raptors' motivation to avoid the play-in tournament, this outcome is hard to envision. Additionally, the Celtics resting their players makes it even less likely.

Final Thoughts

While the Raptors seem like the most logical first-round opponent for the Knicks, there's still a bit of suspense surrounding the final standings. The NBA playoffs are always full of surprises, and the potential matchups add an extra layer of excitement.

From my perspective, the Knicks should be well-prepared for any scenario, as they've had ample time to scout and analyze their potential opponents. The team's focus should now shift to fine-tuning their game plan and ensuring they're ready for whatever challenge lies ahead.

Knicks First-Round Playoff Scenarios: Who Will They Face? | NBA 2026 (2026)
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